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Message: [QUOTE="Queen, post: 86455, member: 27"] Gezani is barreling toward Madagascar's east coast and could slam into the island as a monster Category 4 cyclone by Tuesday with winds hitting 211 kilometers per hour. The storm's current position and trajectory [LIST] [*]Gezani formed on 6 February over the south-west Indian Ocean waters. [*]The system cruised north of Mauritius and Réunion on 7 and 8 February. [*]As of 9 February, the storm sat roughly 630 kilometers east of Madagascar. [*]Sustained winds were clocking 84 kilometers per hour at that point. [/LIST] Landfall predictions and intensification risk [LIST] [*]South African Weather Service expects the cyclone between Mananara Avaratra and Vatomandry. [*]Favorable environmental conditions could push Gezani to an intense tropical cyclone status. [*]After hitting land, the system will weaken while cutting southwest across Madagascar. [*]Mozambique Channel entry on 11 February might trigger re-intensification of the storm. [/LIST] Madagascar's nightmare scenario with back-to-back disasters [LIST] [*]Tropical Cyclone Fytia killed 14 people and impacted over 85,000 people between late January and early February. [*]The island's northwestern regions face strong winds and heavy rainfall for 72 hours. [*]Recovery efforts from Fytia are still underway as Gezani approaches. [*]SAWS has warned vessels about rough seas and hazardous marine conditions. [/LIST] Ripple effects spreading across southern Africa [LIST] [*]Zambia Meteorological Department issued alerts for widespread rainfall between 12 and 14 February. [*]Gezani's interaction with the ITCZ will trigger flash floods in poorly drained areas. [*]Zambian authorities told residents to secure their property and avoid flooded roads. [*]South Africa named this seventh system of the 2025-26 cyclone season. [/LIST] [/QUOTE]

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