Citi says US clears NVIDIA, AMD GPU sales to China in magnets deal

The United States has relaxed semiconductor export restrictions that previously blocked American companies from selling advanced chips to China. NVIDIA Corporation received government assurances that officials will approve applications for resuming H20 graphics processor sales to Chinese markets. The chip manufacturer plans to file paperwork with federal authorities to restart these shipments after months of regulatory barriers. Advanced Micro Devices has announced similar intentions to seek approval for its MI308 processor exports to the same region. Both companies anticipate prompt authorization from Washington regulators.

NVIDIA absorbed approximately $4.5 billion in losses during its April quarter from inventory writedowns and purchase commitments after the Trump administration imposed indefinite licensing requirements on April 9th. The company also forfeited around $8 billion in potential quarterly revenue due to these export limitations. Bernstein analysts calculate that every $10 billion in recovered Chinese revenue would generate roughly 25 cents in additional earnings per share for NVIDIA. The firm previously estimated its annual revenue opportunity in China at $50 billion before restrictions took effect.

Citi analysts suggest the regulatory shift may connect to broader diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Beijing. Recent developments between the two nations have addressed electronic design automation software restrictions and rare earth magnet trade agreements. Investment researchers theorize that semiconductor export policy changes could represent part of these wider commercial arrangements. The reversal marks a significant departure from previous administration positions on technology transfers to Chinese entities.
 

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