Economists warn of tax base shrinkage, rising debt

Economic analysts have raised concerns about Namibia's contracting employer population, which dropped from approximately 45,000 to just 15,000 between 2018 and 2023, threatening fiscal stability as government spending continues climbing. Cirrus Capital head of research Robert McGregor noted that under 4 percent of citizens pay personal income tax, while merely half a percent classify themselves as employers, forcing authorities to increasingly tap pension funds that already hold 49 percent of investments domestically above the 45 percent legal requirement.

Economist Omu Kakujaha-Matundu attributed the workforce reduction to weak consumer demand, limited export opportunities, and heavy dependence on primary commodities with minimal value addition. Landless People's Movement youth leader Duminga Ndala characterized the trend as evidence of excessive bureaucracy stifling innovation and called for emergency measures, including dedicated procurement allocations for small businesses.

Cirrus Capital projects a 3 percent economic expansion, barely matching population growth, while McGregor emphasized the nation requires 4 to 6 percent advancement despite deteriorating investor sentiment.
 

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