OPEC keeps Nigeria’s oil quota steady, cartel plays waiting game

OPEC locked Nigeria into the same 1.5 million barrels per day production cap through the end of 2026, basically keeping things frozen for another two years. The oil cartel made the call at their ministerial meetup and said they'll keep monitoring market conditions through their joint committee while using a new mechanism to figure out sustainable production levels for 2027 baselines.

Meanwhile, eight OPEC+ countries like Saudi Arabia and Russia decided to pause their planned output bumps for the first quarter of 2026 because of seasonal demand patterns, though they might gradually bring back up to 1.65 million barrels per day if market conditions improve. The group is meeting monthly to review how everyone's doing with their quotas and making sure countries pay back any excess production since early 2024.
 

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