Primary Wave nears deal to buy Kobalt Music Group

A potential $1.5 billion buyout would hand Primary Wave its very first in-house publishing administration machine.

Primary Wave eyes Kobalt Music Group
  • Larry Mestel's outfit is the sole remaining bidder.
  • Kobalt's valuation could hit double its 2022 price tag.
  • Francisco Partners grabbed a 90% stake for $750 million.
  • FP apparently feels no rush to let Kobalt go.
Kobalt's CEO pushes back on takeover buzz
  • Laurent Hubert fired off an internal memo to staff.
  • His message stressed Kobalt staying independently operated.
  • Hubert pointed to strong platform performance under FP.
  • Market interest keeps circling the company regardless.
Deal math gets wild at these numbers
  • Primary Wave sits at roughly $6 billion in value.
  • The combined entity could top $7 billion easily.
  • Brookfield's $2 billion partnership fuels Mestel's buying power.
  • Goldman Sachs is reportedly advising on negotiations.
Kobalt brings serious infrastructure to the table
  • Over 1 million songs span 10 worldwide offices.
  • AMRA collects digital royalties directly from streaming platforms.
  • A Morgan Stanley venture deployed $700 million into catalogs.
  • KOSIGN targets indie artists needing royalty collection help.
Primary Wave fills a glaring operational hole
  • Mestel's firm historically leaned on third-party royalty administrators.
  • Expired admin deals have been funneling toward Universal lately.
  • Kobalt's platform would entirely flip that dependency.
  • AMRA's direct-collection model could fatten margins considerably.
Kobalt's financials paint a growing picture
  • Revenue jumped to $794.4 million from $522 million prior.
  • Adjusted EBITDA climbed to $75.3 million from $47.4 million.
  • Roughly $100 million in EBITDA under US accounting standards.
  • Next filings land at Companies House by March 2026.
Indie mega-deals are stacking up globally
  • BMG Rights Management reportedly wants to scoop up Concord.
  • That potential transaction could reach $7 billion in territory.
  • Bertelsmann's BMG would absorb another indie heavyweight.
  • Two massive consolidation plays are running simultaneously.
 

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