Recent polling suggests President William Ruto's campaign for a second term just got more complicated. The data shows many Kenyans believe the passing of opposition leader Raila Odinga has made Ruto's potential re-election harder, not easier. About forty-one percent see Odinga's absence as a setback for the president, while thirty percent think it could actually help him. A significant portion, eighteen percent, say it makes no difference.
The survey reveals a major focus on the administration's performance over opposition dynamics. Both main parties have lost substantial support since the last election. ODM now holds twenty percent popularity, with Ruto's UDA at sixteen percent. The largest bloc is now undecided voters, making up thirty percent of the electorate. This points to a fluid political environment with no dominant party.
Half of those polled expect ODM to leave the current broad-based government and return to its opposition role before the next election. There is also a clear division on who should lead the party forward, with no consensus on a candidate or strategy. Notably, nearly one in five respondents expressed a surprising openness to supporting Ruto himself as an ODM candidate under a hypothetical party switch, indicating unpredictable potential for realignment.
The survey reveals a major focus on the administration's performance over opposition dynamics. Both main parties have lost substantial support since the last election. ODM now holds twenty percent popularity, with Ruto's UDA at sixteen percent. The largest bloc is now undecided voters, making up thirty percent of the electorate. This points to a fluid political environment with no dominant party.
Half of those polled expect ODM to leave the current broad-based government and return to its opposition role before the next election. There is also a clear division on who should lead the party forward, with no consensus on a candidate or strategy. Notably, nearly one in five respondents expressed a surprising openness to supporting Ruto himself as an ODM candidate under a hypothetical party switch, indicating unpredictable potential for realignment.
