SBI guru says inflation dive, RBI must slash rates now

State Bank of India economists recommend the Reserve Bank cut interest rates during September policy meetings. The bank's research team believes inflation will reach historic lows through goods and services tax adjustments. Dr. Soumya Kanti Ghosh leads the analysis predicting consumer price index declines of 65 to 75 basis points. Current monetary policy maintains rates at 5.50 percent following August committee decisions. The central bank could demonstrate forward-thinking leadership through rate reductions.

Consumer price inflation may drop to 1.1 percent by October according to SBI projections. Such levels would mark the lowest readings since 2004 economic data began tracking these metrics. Tax restructuring efforts will likely reduce costs for common household items and services. Historical patterns from 2019 show similar policy changes decreased inflation by 35 basis points within months. Economic forecasts suggest price stability will continue through fiscal years 2026 and 2027.
 

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