TSMC's 2nm cash cow overtakes 3nm and 5nm by Q3

TSMC's 2nm node has been sold out for over a year despite a price hike. The chipmaking giant, facing massive AI-driven demand, has its entire 2026 capacity for the two-nanometer process fully booked, pushing it to build three extra facilities in Taiwan at a projected cost of 28.6 billion dollars. Key clients like Apple, NVIDIA, AMD, Qualcomm, and MediaTek are all in line for these advanced wafers, with company revenue from the 2nm technology projected to exceed total sales from both its 3nm and 5nm nodes by the third quarter of 2026.

The explosive growth in artificial intelligence has created a scenario where TSMC essentially holds a monopoly on this cutting-edge production. To meet orders, the company plans up to ten total 2nm plants across Taiwan and the United States, aiming to boost output from an initial 35,000 wafers to between 80,000 and 100,000 monthly by the end of 2026. Its primary production hub is the Fab 22 plant in Kaohsiung, with other facilities located in the Hsinchu Science Park.

While the 5nm process currently generates the largest share of TSMC's income, that dominance is expected to fade as newer technologies ramp up. The 3nm node is entering its peak mass production phase, but will also eventually cede capacity to the two-nanometer lines. TSMC has no current plans to transfer the 2nm process overseas, opting to send its 3nm technology abroad a year ahead of schedule to counter competitors like Samsung. Revenue contribution from the 2nm process began modestly but is climbing rapidly as capacity expands.
 

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